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<br />Introduction <br /> <br />After a period of sustained economic growth and appreciation in asset values, <br />Lexington’s government and Lexington citizens face much more challenging <br />circumstances. We expect pressure—likely for a sustained period—on the revenues <br />available to pay for public services (municipal and schools). <br /> <br />It is important to note that the single most important source of local revenue, <br />property taxes, is essentially stable and by law can grow 2.5 percent annually (plus any <br />increment from new growth in the tax base). This is in welcome contrast to the sudden, <br />severe reduction in Commonwealth revenues, for example, where taxes on economically <br />sensitive bases—personal income, capital gains, retail sales, and business income—have <br />fallen dramatically short of expectations. Likewise, in Lexington, a number of the town’s <br />secondary sources of revenue, particularly local aid, new property growth, and local <br />receipts from automobile excises and building permits, have been severely impacted by the <br />current economic crisis. <br /> <br />The Commonwealth’s experience reminds us that the relative stability of the local <br />property tax base is not at all the same thing as robust growth or even stability in <br />townspeople’s financial circumstances. Few of our fellow citizens (and fellow taxpayers) <br />are receiving increases in compensation in the current circumstances; many are struggling <br />with significant reductions in compensation or other sources of income, or prospective or <br />outright loss of jobs. Moreover, townspeople have seen their education and retirement <br />savings diminished. <br /> <br />The work of this task force, and this report, focus on the challenges of financing <br />public services on which we all depend, daily and for the long term. But both are informed <br />by the equally challenging circumstances our fellow citizens face in the wake of the credit <br />crisis and the current recession. We recognize as well that Lexington’s skilled, highly <br />valued employees and their families are affected by the prevailing economic anxieties. <br /> <br /> In the most recent rating-agency assessment of Lexington’s finances, Moody’s <br />Investors Service made note of the pressures arising from “cyclical revenue <br />declines…without corresponding expenditure reductions,” and the expected reduction in the <br />town’s financial flexibility, giving rise to possible “structural challenges in future fiscal <br />years.” This report will give meaning to those generalities. <br /> <br />We aim to suggest a policy context for discussion not only among all of Lexington’s <br />officials—the Selectmen (who commissioned this task force), the School Committee, Town <br />Meeting—but also among the town and school administrations, the public at large, and all <br />of our municipal and school employees. All of these stakeholders will, in common, make <br />the choices that steer our community through the current challenge soundly and <br />appropriately. <br /> <br />In the discussion that follows, we emphasize the following overlapping points: <br /> <br />•We recognize, and emphasize, that we face a very high degree of uncertainty about <br />how the economic and fiscal pictures (for nation, state, and town) will unfold over the next <br />several years. All of the predictions and recommendations that follow will need to be <br />frequently reassessed in light of new information and changing circumstances. <br /> 5 <br /> <br />