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1975-05-12-SSRP-rpt.pdf
U , 1 r.,„;\ r,1 iiii. / E-3 j II L-71 - 1-1 FROM THE COMMITTEE TO STUDY THE REASSIGNMENT OF PUPILS TO THE SCHOOL COMMITTEE LEXINGTON , MASSACHUSETTS MAY 12,1975 REASSIGNMENT OF PUPILS THE FINAL REPORT OF THE COMMITTEE TO STUDY THE REASSIGNMENT OF PUPILS MAY, 1975 R .11,ectfuj-1 .1.1L142.1 Sam Nablo, GhaiLwan Paul and Nancy Rempfer 6 Brigham Road 8 Stevens Road 862-6126 861-8037 Gordon L. Brigham, Vice Chairman Donald M. Graham 311 Concord Avenue 4 Millbrook Road 861-1278 862-4355 Cornelius P. Cronin, Secretary Paul F. Masoner 14 Utica Street 17 Edgewood Road 862-5885 862-2100 Table of Content s: FiTial- iet of Committee t° gtud/ 1121221EIELEIS211aila (i) Author Page (ii) Table of Contents 1. Mandate of the Committee ea • a • 00e "• • • • • • • • • • ••• • • • • •0 n • a • • • • • • • • apo • 0 • • 01 2. Criteria Established for the StUdY000 . 66406e0oge0.6006,000 . 0 " 0 .0• 0600 •2 3. Sequence of Analysis for the Elementary Schools . . . . ... .... . . . . . . . . . . . .3 (i) Division of the Existing Districts 010 •40 . 00106• apau6 . 61. 646 .3 (ii) Census Data Reduction for Redistricting (iii) Grade Structure Analysis. (a) Average Class Size . .. .. . . .l3 (b) Classroom Capacity . . . . . . . . l7 (iv) Busing Analysis (v) Conclusions. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . .19 4. Analysis for the Junior High (1) Tabulated Data (ii) The Redistricted Map 5. Recommendations tb• a • 6666060666 • 64• • •• • 2 , 66064 06 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 22 Appendix DetajledAnslysis of the School Closing Sequence (a) Census Data and Zone Map (b) Sequence Analysis (Elementary) (c) Sequence Analysis (Junior High) (d) Busing Analysis. (e) Considerations of Town Population Trends (ii) 1. Mandate of the Committee The Committee to Study Reassignment of Pupils was established as one of three citizensg study committees. The objectives of the CSRP were defined in a directive from the Lexington School Committeedated February 3, 1975: •*, to study the reassignment of pupils, specifically, the modification of school district lines to absorb all streets serviced by closed schools, the determination of the distances to be travelled to new assignments by children living on streets serviced by closed schools, and to estimate the potential growth within each district." (1) 2. CRITERIA FOR CSRP STUDY (ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS) (1) All pupils in a natural neighborhood should be assigned to the same school. A natural neighborhood is defined by boundaries which are con- sidered "unsafe" for pedestrians and are unlikely to be crossed un- attended by elementary age children. Redistricting along these lines is unlikely to disturb peer relations which have already been established outside of school. Examples of such boundaries are major traffic arteries , the B&M railroad, Wilson's farm, etc. (2) All pupils within walking distance of a school should be assigned to that school. Where they cannot walk, they should be assigned to the nearest school. (3) The Reassignment Plan should result in a single townwide redistricting plan that will remain unchanged throughout the closing schedule . (4) Students in schools to be closed shall be redistricted in a single year and shall thereafter remain in the new district to which they are reas- signed , (5) Pupils in schools remaining open should be unaffected by redistricting where possible . (6) Effort shall be made to minimize the division of school districts to be closed to preserve existing group identification where possible . (7) Design reassignment/closing schedule to provide uniform distribution of students against capacity at completion of closing. (8) The closing schedule should be designed with adequate margin to permit assignment options with regard to: Metco (approaching 10% of the ele- • mentary school population by 1980); new housing developments; errors in the projection data, etc. (9) Attempt to adhere to the closing schedule set forth in the Facilities Study. * see Appendix (a) (2) 3. itallS° of Anal f°z tlic: ElcIselltlrY Schools (1) Division of the Existin Districts A briefing on land use in Lexington was given to the committee by Mr* Briggs of the Planning Office on February 25, l975.* Attention was focused on neighborhood definition and "natural" boundaries within the town, in addition to major changes in land use patterns which could affect the school population distribution or density over the next decade. In this way the committee members became more familiar with the current elementary school districts (liap 1) and where they conformed with, or violated "neighborhood boundaries". Based upon this information and data collected by members of the committee, the four elementary districts recommended for closure in the Facilities Study, namely Parker, Hancock, Munroe, and Adams, were divided into subdistricts as shown in Map 2. The following "boundaries" were used: (a) Hancock: Area 1 - east of the B & M R.R. tracks Area 2 - west of the B & M and north of Mass. Avenue (including Mass. Ave.) Area 3 - west of the B & M and south of Mass. Avenue (excluding Mass. Ave.) (b) Munroe: Area 4 - north of the B & M and west of Hayes Lane (Including Hayes Lane) . Area 5 - the remainder north of the B & M tracks Area 6 - south of the B & M and west of Bloomfield Street (including Bloomfield St .) 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F /ry F s ; ;:`t wta.sr s,.,,B - �, �, ,:%s \`'l.�' a c, r"..7<':,,,V.',,,} �t' d,� i r C:n y ry� kv : tt.1naf . 1I.- \ 1---r---- 1 - -'ilf o 4-.0 )ft \<-- \ • \, �`”" 4,1,4. ,„,;,,t.. , .A 4/", _'___A-1\1 + •• • - • • .1,-%' \,,i ".."-.\\:)'``[.. i. ,...-- \. f ,,,1",,,,,t. , ,", .- 1 i ' .4..trAf'. <\s,e .- ,.., ,,,,,,o()t.„. .„,\ \” C I`' r ;rhe, L '," -., MAP of TM �jy , ' l w K TOWN OF LEXINGTON ' MASSACHUSETTS t.I'rr `":� �'N 1t: „4 =q r---- r SCA..[ 4 Jc ,#'M/� 1967 ot NEAP 2•; AMAL1'5S5 SU5•,P� C /,--------.. ,- ---...,)-` (d) Parker: Area 15 - south of Bedford Street and North Hancock Street (including Bedford St . and North Hancock St ,) Area 16 - the remainder of the Parker District In addition, four other sub-districts as shown in Map 2, were defined to assist in the options possible in the choice of reassignment scenarios: (e) Bridge: Area 13 and Area 14 with the division running west of the Public Works Building and south of Vaille Avenue (f) Franklin: Area 17 - the portion of this district north of Worthen Road (including Worthen Road) (g) Bowmen: Area 12 - west of Waltham Street, (excluding Waltham St.) south of Route 2 Area 11 - the Bowman 2 district (ii) Census Data Reduction and RedistrictinE Using the school census data for the 73-74 school year, (the moc recent available for analysis) , the Committee, with the generous help of volunteers and the Planning Board, analyzed each of these districts so that accurate projections could be made through 1980. The data published by the enroll- ment projection subcommittee in the Appendix to that report in March of 1974, was used to guide our updated enrollment projections; in particular, district by district cohort survival ratios adopted by them were used in generating our projections based upon. this 73-74 census data. These tabulations are included in Appendix A for the seventeen sub- districts listed above, and cover the population with birth dates from 69-73, and Kindergarten through Grade 6 for the 1973-1974 school year. Various closing sequences were then attempted with the following additional conditions: (1) Closing of a school would not be accomplished unless the schools to which the affected students are reassigned are at 90% capacity level or less. This follows from criteria 8. (6) (2) Current capacity data were used. in setting this criterion, predicated upon the assumptions shown in Table L Using these figures, rather than the "renovated" capacities reported in the facilities study, effectively decouples the two programsnamely renovation and closing. Furthermore, with the expected Metco increase which. will approach 107. of Lexingtons elementary school population in 1979-1980 (see Table 2) it was felt that the reduction in school capacity associated with the proposed renovations, might not be possible. Note that only the grade 1 - 6 population is considered in Table 2 since kindergartens are not effected by NETCO. In 1979-80, the 240 grade 1 - 6 METCO students would represent 8.3% of the total projected elementary school enrollment ( 2732 students) . (3) The sequence will not "force" an accommodating capacity in the recipient schools. That. is, an attempt is made to schedule the reassignment in a manner harmonious with. the declining enrollments in these schools. (7) Table 1 - Elpacities_SEleE2ELla Schopl) ----1.,:FLIELLE)._, Renovated ...._ - Class Kinder Class Kinder Rooms Lartens gApasily. School Rooms tens Capacit , IFiske 16 1 440 13 1 365 Bowman 20 2 560 21.5 1 577 Bridge 19 2 535 21.5 1 577 Estabrook 17 1 465 13 1 365 Harrington 12 1 340* 14 1 390 Hastings 16 ,-) , 460 15 1 415 Franklin 15 2 435 11 1 315 --IL----- -. -------------------------- ....._______ K=1; Capacity=25* Classrooms +40 K=2; p? tt +60 Note: Harrington unusually low; the renovated capacity is used as the design capacity. Table 2 Estima:ted MetcpElemenarv8chool Puulstion Grades 1-6, no kindergarten Year Total fleal :1 .11'1: Total El. ------- ..----- . 74-75 240 (144) 3700 3.9 1 75-76 280 168 3442 4.9 76-77 320 (192) 3247 5.9 1 , 77-78 360 (216) 2988 7.2 78-79 400 (240) 2696 8.9 79-80 (400) (240) 2426 9.9 1 *Based upon the 75-76 ratio of 60% elementary 1 (8) The sequence started (as recommended in the Facilities Study) with the closing of Hancock with redistricting to Fiske and Hastings. In the school year (76-77) recommended in the Facilities Study, this would have placed both recipient schools at 1007 capacity (see pages B-1 and B-2). As shown there, the earliest this closing could be accomplished with adequate margin was in the 77-78 school year. Next, Munroe was closed into Fiske and Franklin to see if it should precede Hancock. We found that the earliest that closure could take place with adequate margin was 1978-79 (see B-3 and B-4). Therefore, it was decided to recommend the closure of Hancock (first) in the 1977-78 school year. The third sequence involved the closing of Munroe into Fiske after Hancock was closed. This im shown in the analysis of B-5 and indicate that Munroe can- not be closed until the 1979-80 year due to the addition of the Hancock students in Fiske. This sequence concludes the treatment of Hancock, Munroe, Fiske, Franklin and Hasting&. In accordance with the proposed closure sequence, Adams was next closed Into Bowman and Harrington. As can be seen from the sub-districting Map 2, this involved the movement of Bowman 2 into Harrington (see page B-7) , which was chosen aa the preferred option when it was found that the Liberty Heights district (9) could not be accommodated by Harrington nor by Bowman, without the reassignment of the Bowman 2 sub-district. This assignment, although it violated criterion 5, did integrate the subdistricts north of Mass. Avenue (including Adams 10) while assigning the Bowman 2 students to a closer school. It was then found that the closing of Adams, the largest of the schools to be reassigned, could not be accommodated until 1979-1980. (see page B-7) . Finally, Parker was reassigned to the Estabrook and Bridge Schools. It was determined (see pages 13-9 and B-10) that this reassignment permitted Parker (9) to close in 1978-1979, a year in advance of the time recommended in the Facilities Study. A summary of these projections and of the reassignment sequence just out- lined is shown in Table 3. As indicated in the last column of that table, this schedule results in a quite uniform distribution of the students vis vis current capacity, i.e. , an average of 32%. It should be pointed out that the development path of Table 3 differs markedly from the somewhat unrealistic path adopted in the Facilities Study; i.e. , in which students reassigned. from a closed facility were rather broadly distributed among those facilities remaining open. The redistricted map for the town of Lexington resulting from this proposed reassignment sequence is shown. in Map 3. The boundary definitions of theproposed redistricted. town shown on this map should be assumed to concur with those currently in force where ambiguity exists. (10) • OC`Ht;Cg.. 1.�,� 41' _ ,7 73J �� �f�► Cis- ,(r/ 7 74 75 7 '/77 76/77 )7/73 76179 79/50 •/ CA74( Com RN. , fi ►E -53 5" 577 5Z9 £01 4.79 4. / 4-S5 • 4(03 453 85 779 7111+4 I 5 0 :77 .semS 5Z7 4-7"7 42C) I03 � 3S, 449 ScV76 )4A511 3 r 4100 4 +B I 4-08 390 3Sio 4 2 1. 314 3 4 S 75/f$.3 590 3 5Z 9 X 11 2.77 T ? ZSR, 33 96/ 465 377 .443 3 1 j 554. 323 .3 53/110 ci`��C- .1 440 -,' 4/S 39 371 t ret)04KLI En" 3 s 34o = 3 4 EsEatAit c RC I /Si" /8. ' /S9 iSZ 1T7 1 no ..... OF1406-)C‹.• 215 2.07 /N!a / ~70 -�- --� N .0" 1`-ro; r i 5 I .3 75 " g 359 33Z '51 8 z 46- /0°' 6 - 4. 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J , ^f'-°U �` �"n} � ''''s,'‘''',,,.._.,:—......,-.: y 1.?,'i.;-7, 1 `s. t '>�' ".fir` ...y ..if. ' ,: / 1/ ( ._..,tr.L' iU . d )' r,, ,i7:71 J1 \\ . +e.7,,,,--:-.-.,„,, � .X '`::\I N • J 7 1{ �, ♦ jt� i , ". 41 J'vL'�1w yI✓.", • �• �,-4F/A,----,-,7 J , .' �/ �-. �U "; K ,. ' �� .\,‘i 1 •� t. 1-1 ..,;,...„.,••:,•,..,,,,,, d 1 i. ��'? I I�� ams�J ii' i?� R'— °w'/ -�� �4���i i ��t�`^��" 6 ©\ � - ...1 � � JC i y �< �h �y�. Fes, fJ�i �`\ \,\ 1\,:;:!;,..-_,;' .'"';''X11\'�^��• } ) i \ ,7,-,/....„. .,,_,:--,--__ .,..)-1,....„-\_„ ..,:,..„.„, :z--:_4, . If r, •a. tr,. , F° ,•::. 4.`; ..\\-„,...,-,.4,„„r„,..•2, .- \ •, - s, ;� I" }.'1 5 �l 111(2 1' . ill -r:. s ,, a �\ ��. "r! )I ��` ��` ' ... .iyia yr f Pry J , �ti,, y / � �, rp • S Y f ^ � Tj .•� .' —Nty 1t i rl 1�,., :',.,:•.-.!,,,-:..,..,....70.'40.4,,,., "Y, `.`�A 41 ' .74 1r d ?��.:.`�'~•"�\\,• , i��, ',,, -------)i,:,..-„,„:.;;,..-� / Y'' '•I�'} rte• . "^ }9t�J,t'i} ,),,,4,4,•'-i-1,,,,':,••., . r -l�� , ' r \ ......,,,,•,,,,!! it 1 �'q '� /� {;.!a, • x7.: \/•a.5� •.,,,,--,„,,,..--„,,` ,, ,,,,,-,?-.,-,.',4,," ,,a A ,,y �' �i„, - / /�i / end.... • :, /rte/1 ;, �i. `iW"..~ �:�--'c_, -‘Os, \- `F,r�,„,., >:1r:tMr •r,i. �j��/i a /; j ti' i�l i • / -..-.7'. , \�+ ��a-, � c..:?•" I �'. �l, O w i� / ry/ o 0 i".„,...'..,',.. try. .• !ll... �.. gyp. n.0 \ ,.. ; 1 t7 r'' �—J ,nr or e�t71IE 1 ''` art ^ `'mss ;� r� Q� LEXINGTON •(:: r,���t',4(..,,1 -,,,,..q„-,,,,s r'`k"sr i .•�A • f ASSACHUSETTS •,u..1 (Ni' �jaa SCALE � OOH-- 21 ; .1 ti°a (iii) Grade Structure. Analysis This analysis considers the effect of the school closings on average class size and the class size distribution at each school. Averqa _gass S First, the grade projections made in Appendix C of the 1974 Enrollment Projection Sub-committee Report were extrapolated through 1980 by using the average of the 76-77 and 77-78 Kindergarten classes as estimates of the 78-79 and 79-80 Kindergarten classes. This is the same technique as was employed in Appendix B of this report. The resulting class sizes are listed above the slash for each school in Table 4-A. Then, a simple class count was established by simply dividing classes to keep the maximum class size at 30 and maximum Kinder- garten at 25. The number of classes for each grade is listed below the slash. The result is an indication of what might happen, in general, if there were no closures and a simple whole grade strategy was employed to limit class size. The total class average for grades 1-6 without NETCO is 21,9. NETCO would raise the average to 24.1, just above the current value of 23.9. One hundred and eleven grade 1-6 classes (classroom teachers) would be required. This is 27% fewer than the current 153, Next, the grade projections for the schools remaining open when closures take place (as set forth in Appendix B) are given in Table 4-B. Again, a simple whole grade strategy was employed, The result is a very large class size; with NT,TCO the average class size would be 27.1. As a result of the large class size, the number of classrooms required is only 97, 14 less than without the closings. This would result in a 37% reduction in classrooms (classroom teachers) but at the rice of exceedingly large class sizes. (13) ` r-A-Bt..e 4 . itin=lakm.S 35/2 Ziorl 72 -54/2 44/2 2 41/z 94)2.1253/12.= 2.1 . 1_ ... r.A�,.1 I/2 3/2 35/2 ._ 31/z 53/2 54/2. sci2.. z /.1 z 21 , ' , Bre. 4-7/Z 52/Z 9/ X5/3 L ,/3 e/5 Si?..-54/16 22.. C - b 31/ 53/z 4)z. 341 54Vz 4E/z 54/2.1249/ f 27/Z. 11 2 3B/2 ,/2 41)2 52./ 2'55/10°I,' 23.5 IL1 �fJ 3-€V2, 27/'2. 3417. 40/2 S1/L. 44/2 4'/2.12 /12.= 20. Ica,1 l +,/ 1 1,)) 1c)/.1 20/1 Z4)L ' t Z. /L = zo. 6 %.,4c1413.1 2'B)?. 5-21/i . 3312 2L,,/1 40/Z '3. /Z 37/21.2 04/10 = Zr).4. l- -, aq5 22/I Z.Z./1 12,/ 1 ? /Z 45/Z 54/2, 60/Zi 225'/i0 zz, muNJ,roe 1 f 11 2.5/1 z Q) /1 z5/1 a') 1 z,,/ I i 49/to = z ,.s p.Qr-.V,.e t""' 15/i I '5) 1 11 /I 14/1 zr/1 ' 2/Z 5S121130/10 = 2. 1 .1 NNW. aillMMO ons-- 4ma. "1'c. -�-�►� S Ba6/1 'n 17 . 0 2. 42(x/111 = 2,1 . 9 l to c Me'rC0 = 24 . .I .- C 105u - - MA:Z..7?) 4- L�(161 Bchw1 4,z SE/3 . S.5/z, sz/ 2. .58/2, .72.)3 S2/3 .7e131 a97A S=ZG0.G 6rldcie 54/5 591 Z 4512 ' 913 76/3 -ip/3 71/3 599/t 24./ beco4. 4z/z 40jz 43/z Ge/3 ..7015 80/3 3.'-3/. 1 ,1 2Z . R bte 41/Z 47/2 313/s /Z. 144/3 51/z 8o/3 33e/ 14 24.1 45/2.. 46/Z 41/2 a)/2 .55/2►. /Z V§/2.13040/12.1.1,2.5.S"Aarr !► rt 4I/Z 44/Z /Z 35/2 140/2. So/2 , /2I 295,12 =2.4.4 14 1w`�5 33/x,. 383/`2, 2.6/1 49/2. 52. b?/3 72/3 31D 13= 2 3.e '7'0,4a15 30'1/ 1 to = 19. 1 Z 3" 3,1`i-7 = 2.4.(0 C4.314Ael 10410 .M ETc.o 2.-1. 1 • LI ) vno+vn A1i::: ables17 w . (2) N1a.5c, w u 1-1 c t-- - tp..1 = ZS" From Table 4 two conclusions can be drawn. First, even if schools are not closed, substantial reductions in classroom teacher staff can be realized while maintaining the current average class size (approximately 24) due to the decreasing enrollment. Second, a simple whole grade strategy for establishing classroom counts leads to unrealistically large class sizes should the schools be closed. Current practice in Lexington elementary schools is to combine adjacent grades in one class to achieve desired class sizes. In fact, same schools create combined classes for educational advantages even when it is not required to balance class sizes. Over 30% of the elementary school classes are combined grades at the present time. Table 5 shows. the same class sizeS but with classroom counts established by a simple combined class strategy. The strategy was designed to promote. an average class size of 23.5, (without METCO) to increase the "without closure" average and to decrease the "with closure" average. The results in either case are identical with 105 classrooms required. The slight difference (approximately 1%) in theaverage class size is due to slight differences in the data sources between the 174 Enrollment Projection Sub-committee Report and this report . (15) ` 130 C racle 64-rue--44,) C. t•Ab r Lle Gnoae K ► z S 4 5 1-_ e. 1\n S 35/Z__ _ C ?.41 ) • 34/2 .44/2 47/2 54/2: 2.53/11 - 23.0 c -.) 3 i /z C '6e►/5) 31,/Z 5-5,Jz 51/2 50/z'. 2S/1 .1 = 23. 3 r- c e. 1-7/2. . sa/2, 31V2, cos/3 cai0/3 10/3. (4.343( 354/4. .7'22 a b 21/2 (67/5) 30/1 5c)/z. 9ez 54/Z1 Z49/10= 2.4.9 .. . / 5ckli 2►/i /z 53/2 4t/z &z/z z33/107-- 23.5 1 �es/z. (11 /3) .40/z si/z 44/2. 43/2.1 24//t t = 22.. to aeoclL 16/1 '(,.2s/1 )(2.1./1) ( 2.5/. i). 20/t 2.10/4 12.Z/E 2.41. 4 1 r r-rro i q 4014' 2.s/z '/, a /Z 2L/i 40/z (-7.5)3) g 204/9 =' 54 d wcIs 2.2/ r 2 /; ( 4S/z) 45/z .z,1Z 43,1 223/f;v=- 2Z.g` o to/i z�/1 242/: 2-5/1 2.5/1 z�/1 Z7/ 1 ) 149 b = 24-8 (24/4) 1 Ori 2.5A ‘42-1/5) t 30/6 27 z‘ ._._.. 1111,, ,,,,inp 1111, '7 04 t ► 3o(4/ .0 Z42to 1 OS= 23 .E .L. k 2 3 4 1 -._ _ (3at4 52/3 55'/2, 5272 583 VS 9z�/s 74/3 I ze7.7/!�.-24.48 1Aric► ,. / f 25.5 41)t 42)2 40).2. 4N2 . 70/5 _8P13 ' 334637=22,5 343/t,�-� zz,c i 4 t/2. 345/z 5143 roc,/3 s1/z. e /3 3341.x►=2 2.5 , /14.I 45/7. 41/Z 4111 .ro,it 9E343 5A/3 55/7.. 3040/, 14 21 . hiarrrx.)c�- 1 i)z 44)2 540/2 6x12 .60/3 Sf zi 640/3 1295/14-= M 1 7,113 ,1314)11-46.1.".-22:1 306/ t efa.' 1 . zst $/ io5 'm 2z.B L J,44' . M e~rcc = z s,. 1 itelijfkA allow 1e icr- c 6%42. c,.. z (.. ,ab, 'Iserele., c €r 1z44, c ., :1- c4, 5). 2 SC--1' c.3) N11 NR.r n ,i•A .11 vwQb1e. . C'155 Ile, 01.1 c t; s, s 1�•C, �c��. ��.c+�-�r-�- _9.r-,a4c5) 9,(+) (4) M$L.4 tkn um, A4.1 nJc r-- ' T= Ims The table demonstrates the effectiveness of combined classes in arriving at desired class sizes and permitting reductions in classes (classroom teachers) whether or not school elosins are made. The reduction in Grade 1-6 classrooms is about 307. in either case with a resultant average class size of about 25. ClassrooaSapacity The combined class scheme in Table 5-B places the most severe demands on the schools in. terms of number of classrooms required. Consideration of these requirements in light of the current number of classrooms (see Table 1) in- dicates that there are currently adequate classrooms in all schools except Harrington. Harrington would require the renovated capacity of 14. classrooms. However, if the renovated classroom counts in Table I are considered it can be seen that, the renovations proposed for Fiske, Estabrook and Franklin would not be possible- In each of these schools, the renovation involve dropping 3 or 4 classrooms to be used for other purposes. Either larger classes would have to be accepted, METCO loads at those schools made lighter than 107., or other of the criteria accejited for this study would have to be re-examined. It should be reiterated that this analysis and the closing sequence recommended here, were based upon current capacity. Decoupling as this does, the closing sequence from the renovation program, the decision as to the implementation of the latter can be based upon a district by district analysis as the enrollment projections are updated over the next four years. (17) (iv) Busing Analysis The closing of any of the four older elementary schools will bring increased busing of children. Those .older schools have small local districts from which virtually all the children can walk. In Appendix , D, an estimate of the number of students which would be bused if the four schools were closed is made. The estimates were made for the year of closing and at the end of all four closings, 1979-80. Only the sumory of 1979-80 is presented here in Table 6. In general, 456 children Table 6 Estimated Increase in Busing in 1979-80 —_......_ Scudent 5 ro —— t al— %Total School 7 Bused Students Bused ..............-- Hancock 66 138 48 Munroe 103 167 62 Adams 130* 288 45 Parker J37 157 100 Total 456 750 61 * Net ; less Bowmanst students now bused who could walk to Harrington ‘------------ would be bused who otherwise would walk to school. This represents 61 percent of the students reassigned (not including Bowman 2 to be assigned to Harrington) and 11 percent of the total (K-6) elementary school enrollment forecasted for that year (2732 students) . (18) (v) Conclusions. Based upon the closing sequence proposed in Table 3, and the analyses which have followed from it, the following conclusions are possible. (a) The four elementary schools can be closed in the 1977-1980 period in a manner which results in minimum disturbance of the student population. The schedule proposed by this committee differs from the rather unrealistic path outlined in the Facilities Study, in which students from the closed facility were reassigned with little regard for dislocation. (b) With the anticipated increase in METCO student population, this sequence will result in an average enrollment at each school of 927—of current capacity. This may affect the renovation programs at some of the schools due to their concomitant reduction in capacity. (c) It appears that these school closings have no impact on the number of classrooms (hence, on the teaching staff complement). With the projected decline in enrollment, reduction in teaching staff to maintain, current pupil: teacher ratios can be accommodated whether or not this reassignment program is implemented. (19) 4. Analysis for the. Junior High Schools In reassigning the students of NUezey to Clarke and Diamond the committee felt that an attempt should be made to follow the new elementary school district boundaries shown in Map 3. This would permit the continuing relations of students through. public school unlike the current district (e.g., Franklin division) as shown on Map 4. An attempt was made to redistrict as follows: To Clarke .New Bowman, Harrington and Franklin To Diamond .New Bridge, Fiske, Estabrock and Hastings An enrollment projection was made for that plan and is presented in Appendix C, page C-3. The projection indicates too many students assigned to Diamond. The trial, was not acceptable. An. attempt was then. made to balance the student population by assigning Bridge 1 to Clarke. This would divide Bridge but along natural boundaries. A revised enrollment projection was made for the new plan and is presented in Appendix C, page C-5. Theproeetion indicates nearly a perfect balance between the two remaining junior highs. Muzzey could be closed in the 79-80 school year as indicated in the Facilities Report with approximately 10% margin. The following year (80-81) the average junior high enrollments would be about 85% of capacity. The recommended redistricted lines are shown on Map 4. (20) \,, --;\.- . , • f 4 bb r' + 0 �I r C� H, ' 45 .,z f...1 ,w,,,.Y r ,• _ rl, r1 ... '''''4'':' ,tiY `'/ I orf ( w l i(� {� w...n....r , J l 'R '�/ (? .(tw. �.. ti—:_ R. �,I // t;.. r ar\ a�w "� \ c:1� v.. �i F '�, I,l. /r° 9� P'y;r R^I ^' •.e_Fd :��{� T '1 ..IY r ✓ \ i. Qe Rj� i it ` ,fie.' a �a'_' .„A :O\4.._ ;t: lr -'a 'A r4.tiT r`. '•{\ i;.�.C 'r4 x it r "^�r� ;..,,,...�zl,Nr.�,_-_.. i 'Lk:. ;,O�H 't` yF�I yjr'n'y �'J ��5'\ •-, i %a 1, r b ` to ••r, )i ea ^b�f �ja P n:E ' l i - _ri./ )IT L'�'\" "1, f!� /1' \:';`0. w 1l_ �,.;,;.••:--- •'" "� 6 �' 7n' "•:Jr ur�.,'1 �px b' r���' %, �- b ,arr`�.:'` 1,17'( 7,*. 1 { I� �� q� 'Jlr, �4�fr",�..rt\ I`,1f,`` ���-�-�i�, .. "' • . . ii 1. 5 h?'A ;: .,/.42/,,,(_:.77,1 <,,..../ r'`/r l r`''R""`4i'',-,y1 `''''i 1 c,` 1 . 1 ;J I� ,.;;,(:'.. t��i r '�' Y I r °. ,` - _,'.----st l{'1lt.J' ( ,:<-4,,,,,,,-:..,,,,-,-,4,1,. ..--,,,,,,-,,,„.„..,..'"° �j na} 'r',iI\*1\ .�1;;`„1 •;1'F' , �cf pA 'qg.I(.x.• l Q� !t`. ' %1\�` '�w.`-�,. ` \ .. ti rs'''..,;/.',:"/,/,,,, /r e ' �` ♦�`;�';' ), , ++ 'fit .�` �,, `� �,lt. / , / iy,z :„ 'I `. : , ...•'a d.� r;t Fii�`'r..'fi`j/ **`�� 1� , l ,tl\'V,: 4 I t..___...'A� /' .s,' /r ,,:'>.9 `y / 1a I _ ) _e�+,r ��ii;' I ' / sN� '' ti, y1 '' \, �r ti r >."a \,1' r "o i �� _ �,f ii_ -- irir. , -. rP.i_f_ r • `-•,:i."6-7..:,:.,\iRM 11f '.,Aie. .',4e",...,,,, L 9 .A, ,Ite .q,,Y't C. %• ii `,r a... W e_ � `,N.',,,".0., s,„..;,;,4 ` .e `, � 1�—J�l� t :l�• ��L 1,��.� ..`,',.\,.._\.:,, r` \�' i} I^ '� �+-�''>, kc,.)1,;'11.; �f ��' _�,�_mow `�•}ea F.,Y'•,r�;" ;' ' '� •',;�i'_ o 1 j n1I r �l :.....e.ti .i�sS ST ✓'Y\ ,: N (( jj(( ',, t r J `/ �. i`::.:/ I "°�/ fir"' r' tt>v„ p al �..F,Ig'�. • • r, ,c'0�\ I .f I , L ,. - •,•1\� �I, /}�,, P , in"" r e ttt/ttt;'"'�\ -. -. ?,5; i l \�� '''/--'"`FiR ` t11k:,',--.:-' ^}i. `' q\\,,V ‘‘,N, V • .1 .., , �� W f 4 } 7 r Ed • S �f G:�, /r ,y/9 6 w F "° •.;,-.-, (J/ .'"Jr �/ �� 4, ,•••- S ,'I�, i.s \ '. ily'.',=-'.—. R :,.:„..... .. -•_(cpty ' ii-r ' j,,,,,,,. .; , ,„,;,-.-„:„ ..„.... -\ `• \Sq 0 `' ••k•- \ gtrS111 ::$ ;` /;A ` f w: te' ,,4C'''\(,'''''';'\,,, ' .,.-1,4:______,,v " \ `" M''\l�� •v r `'a�l}1'1 4 r / /l " .,i s.°i' -c,1,;(1,•;1'.;.',::','/::;;;7I�_a • • \ /.y.„(j;nwh*wrt�i7�;�f.J h "IF Fti Ii\\ `\i..,•' F f (\ \ „\-.- Sc”,�t ,._ Y,. ..1�,1,••fl/ �.�r \;. "f l �1 O?�, /'�� R I({• \l'ct tl``i�� ,?' `. ''\.'Y=r r I -z .0, 1 P� f �r uISt� r, . ita r, ,Jam..: TOWN OF LEXINGTON 44?,,P;`5,4,,,''1,.'',.'),'-',,....i','-g- • A ,p off! Y f' MASSACHUSETTS ; 4•\;4:4V.:),(2'` 'din /'9, '\FAI, //,,....`, •g,,, ....,...,'"1967 \ IMF" ' T <1s"f tdCi_ .,, P 'SE • 4 5. Recommendations of CSRP CommIttee. (1) Maintain an active enrollment committee and upgrade survival ratios annually on the basis of current census data. in this way, the committee can annually reevaluate whatever plan is adopted. To facilitate this task, this committee recommends that the new census data taken each year be computerized according to both the old and new elementary school districts. (2) The committee believes that any attempt to adhere to the closing schedule recommended in the Facilities Study (beginning 76/77) will result in: un- necessary fragmentation of existing neighborhood/districts and violation of many of the other criteria listed. We therefore recommend that if the decision is made to implement a closing plan, it conform with the redis- tricting sequence detailed here. This plan satisfies practically all the criteria set forth, and provides the school committee with the opportunity to test the projections for. two additional years before Implementation, so that premature closings with their concomitant negative economics educa- tional and sociological impacts will not result. AS-122:112Sdents The members of the sub-committee would like to acknowledge the co- operation of Ken Briggs, Planning Director, and the assistance of the members of his staff. The work of• those citizens who volunteered to assist in the tabulation of the school census data was also very much appreciated. 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I. i „.\-- ,,, • A, \ - - 1 ,.. , ri -8 1 s 1‘'i`..:.-, 1 , .----\c" •-,Z)4\A S ‘ (";••;2,...-^- 1-','C2)-1-:)i".--A,,_*.,„1,--,21 a " •1 $•-„ APPENDIX E Consideration of Town Population Trends Appendix t Cops tderation of Town ismlationjrends Based upon the land use briefing by the town planner, the committee makes the following observations: 1. The population of the town has stabilized at the 33-35,000 level, with population changes of less than l per year. 2. There will be no major changes in the land use pattern within Lexington. This assumption is partly predicated upon the strong role taken by the conservation commission. 3. Transportation decisions may encourage population growth in Lexington. The Red Line extension to Lexington is some years in the future. 4. Chapter 774 housing could impose 800 units on Lexington. This law was enacted in 1969 and thus far Lexington has built only a few units for the elderly. Mr. Briggs indicated that the nature of the housing provided and the present rate of progress suggest that any substantial impact on the schools will be several years away. The financing method now being used, namely the MRFA program, requires that twenty-five percent of a develop mentsunits be in the subsidized category. The town's policy to date has discouraged large developments of apartment complexes. Unless the state law is more vigorously pressed, it is doubtful that Lexington will build the number of units suggested by the Chapter 774 legislation. However, it is possible that such a development could occur with major impact in a single location. From the data in Tables 2 and 3 it can be shown that when closings are completed (79-80) the average reserve capacity in each of the elementary schools (using current capacity with 240 METCO) is only 50 students. Reserve capacity in Harrington and Fiske is only in the. twenties! Therefore, this committee recommends: (1) that the school committee keep informed on the planned development of apartment complexes and, (2) that any schools to be closed remain available for future school use (rather than immediately being demolished or sold) for a time to be determined by the school committee and the appropriate town officials as required by such planned developments.