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APPROPRIATION COMMITTEE 2 " REPORT, April 21, 2007, TO 2007 ATM <br />FY2009 and beyond will require drawing heavily on reserves, having another override referendum, or <br />cutting services. These conclusions are consistent with those of last year and other recent years. <br />Some of the fine details of the budget and the proposed override questions and amounts are still being <br />worked out. Our final recommendations on these matters will be given orally at Town Meeting. <br />FY 2009 and Beyond <br />As we noted last year, it seems highly likely that health insurance, energy, and special- education services <br />will continue to be significant cost drivers in future years. The Town is taking steps to address all of these <br />areas, but has at most a limited degree of control in each of them. Progress is therefore likely to be <br />incremental in nature and dependent upon external conditions. Nonetheless, incremental changes made <br />over a long period can be of great import. Wages and salaries will also continue to be cost drivers as even <br />increases of a few percent can have major effects. The annual increases in the number of students <br />attending our public schools continue to moderate, although some short-term increases can be expected as <br />the Avalon at Lexington Hills development (at the former Metropolitan State Hospital site) is completed <br />and occupied in FY2008 and FY2009. Long -term forecasts suggest that the school population will slowly <br />decline over the next ten years, but these forecasts become more uncertain at more distant times. <br />Last year, we noted that the Town's liabilities for future pension payments are projected to be fully <br />funded in 2015. This continues to be our understanding. In compliance with new requirements of the <br />Govermnent Accounting Standards Board, the Town recently obtained an actuarial report on its future <br />liability for other post retirement benefit costs (primarily retiree health insurance). Based upon a number <br />of assumptions, the report estimates the Town's liability for those future benefits to be in the $100 million <br />range. Over the next year, this Committee will be studying the report and its implications for future <br />funding needs. While there is not yet any legal requirement to fund these liabilities, the Town Manager <br />has suggested that the Town should make a modest start on such funding at the 2008 Annual Town <br />Meeting by appropriating funds anticipated to be received from Medicare reimbursements. When the <br />pension liabilities become fully funded in or about 2015, there will be a natural opportunity to make <br />larger contributions to fund the retiree health -care liabilities. <br />In early 2006, the Ad Hoc Financial Policy Committee recommended that the Town's physical assets be <br />evaluated in order to put discussions of long -term maintenance needs on a sounder footing. The <br />evaluation has not yet been initiated, but its potential usefulness has not diminished. Major capital <br />projects beyond the DPW facility that are needed include the reconstruction of the "White House" (the <br />present home of the School Administration) for use as a senior center or some other purpose, the <br />provision of a larger and more functional senior center in another location if not in a reconstructed White <br />House, and the reconstruction or major renovation of three or four elementary schools. It may also be <br />necessary to put aside new funds for use in street and road reconstruction. Voter approval through a <br />Proposition 2 /z debt - exclusion referendum will likely be required for each of these major projects. <br />The Town should continue to press the State for further substantial increases in aid. It is still low in <br />absolute and relative terms. Potential ways to increase local sources of revenue should also be <br />investigated. The possibility of expanding revenue by growing our commercial tax base will be examined <br />in a study that the Lexington 2020 Vision Economic Development Task Force hopes to fund under <br />Article 42 at this Town Meeting. <br />Page 8 of 24 <br />