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Recommendations <br /> <br />The high degree of uncertainty affecting both revenues and expenses in the future makes <br />budgeting especially challenging. Accordingly, our first, overarching recommendation is <br />that decisions be made, to the greatest extent possible, with a recognition of the <br />uncertainties that Lexington faces. Fiscal policies must be guided by long-term directions <br />and principles, but the specific strategies and tactics adopted must evolve with the situation <br />as new information becomes available. <br /> <br /> We begin by planning for FY 2011 with an assumed budget gap of approximately <br />$4 million. That figure may well be revised, in either direction, depending on: <br /> <br /> •the closing balances for FY 2009, which will determine free cash available for the <br />FY 2011 budget; <br /> <br /> •the level of spending in FY 2010 (for example, costs for snow and ice removal), <br />which will, in turn, determine the level of free cash available for FY 2012 (and may affect <br />spending estimates for FY 2011); <br /> <br /> •decisions affecting employee total compensation (salary and benefits) in FY 2010 <br />and beyond; <br /> <br /> •clearer indications about the national and state economies, bearing on the length of <br />the downturn, the pace of recovery, and/or inflation; <br /> <br /> •indications about the Commonwealth’s plans for local aid, especially Chapter 70 <br />funds, for FY 2011; <br /> <br /> •actual data on local receipts (affecting both the year-end FY 2010 balance and the <br />forecast for FY 2011 and beyond); and <br /> <br /> •actual experience with residential and commercial “new growth” revenues entering <br />the tax base in each fiscal year. <br /> <br />In that context, we offer specific recommendations concerning near-term action on <br />expenses and on revenues to cope with the projected FY 2011 budget gap (with <br />consideration for the likely implications for FY 2012 and beyond); and then several general <br />recommendations, which apply to all budget years. <br /> <br />FY 2011 Expenses <br /> <br /> Exercising maximum restraint in compensation. We recommend that in the current <br />circumstances—constrained revenues, historically low inflation, but persistent healthcare <br />cost inflation, particularly in the Greater Boston area—maximum restraint be exercised in <br />the negotiation and setting of total compensation (public-employee salaries and wages, plus <br />benefit costs), from the bargaining units through the executive ranks. The task force <br />recognizes that very few Lexington citizens and taxpayers will receive salary or wage <br />increases in the coming year, and many will face significant reductions in income; this <br />reality provides crucial context for Lexington’s compensation decisions. As part of this <br />recommendation, we urge as the highest fiscal priority that town management and <br />bargaining-unit leadership promptly agree on ways to effect substantial, lasting, and <br /> 14 <br /> <br />