1975-06-23-SC-min - Laserfiche WebLink

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June 23, 1975 Page 157 Upon the recommendation of the Superintendent of Schools, it was ADDITIONAL STTAF SUMER READING VOT'n: A report on Long Range Enrollment for the years 1980-2000 was presented to the school committee this evening. The report was prepared and issued by Dr. Jack Monderer and Mr. Eric T. Clarke of the Planning Board. LONG RANGE ENROT,T&EyT REPO: When preparing the report, the subcommittee agreed that the most productive approach would be to use national school enrollment projections assuming that Lexington is basically a small sample of the U. S. population, • somewhat modified by local social-cultural patterns that is continually refreshed by in-migration and therefore continues to be representative. The projections were adjusted to fit local conditions inorder to arrive at credible predictions of Lexington school enrollments over the same period of time. The school committee was told how the information was retrieved. Seven charts and an appendix illustrated population projections, birth rates, school enrollments, comparison of U. S. and Lexington children per family, dwellings in Lexington and Lexington population and adult migration - age distribution. The conclusions of the report rested on three basic assumptions: a) national - fertility rates will continue to trend toward a completed rate of about two children per family; b) the character of Lexington's population will remain primarily professional and relatively affluent, but its fertility will continue to be generally representative of the U. S. population; and c) the town will continue to grow slowly toward maturity at a level of perhaps 38,000 total population by the year 2000. The conclusions were as follows: "1. The prediction method developed here is reasonably successful in reproducing enrollments that actually took place between 1950 and 1975; 2. The method predicts enrollments for the next 25 years that are neither higher nor much lower than 1975 levels; 3. Predictions indicate that after 1980 enrollment levels will not continue to decline at rates characteristic of the 1970 decade, but will tend to remain relatively constant over the 20 years from 1980 to 2000." • It was announced that Hiss Marsha Flowers, Director of the Program 45 FOREST ST. at 45 Forest Street, has recommended discontinuance of the utilization of this facility as a training center for the 1975-1976 school year. It was Miss Flower's belief that the training meds.>.of the..students in the program • can be well provided at'other training stations such as Unit A, and business and. commercial establishments. The matter was discussed with Dr. Guldager, Dr. Monderer and the Lexington Friends Community Residence Board. It has been agreed. by all that after July 31, the rental of space at 45 Forest Street for this program will be discontinued.